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Mission Improbable: Using Fantasy Documents to Tame Disaster by Lee Clarke

Mission Improbable: Using Fantasy Documents to Tame Disaster
Mission Improbable: Using Fantasy Documents to Tame Disaster
Lee Clarke
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Social Sciences
The University of Chicago Press; 1 edition (May 1999)
225 pages
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1465 kb
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1211 kb
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How does the government or a business plan for an unimaginable disaster-a meltdown at a nuclear power plant, a gigantic oil spill, or a nuclear attack? Lee Clarke examines actual attempts to "prepare" for these catastrophes and finds that the policies adopted by corporations and government agencies are fundamentally rhetorical: the plans have no chance to succeed, yet they serve both the organizations and the public as symbols of control, order, and stability. These "fantasy documents" attempt to inspire confidence in organizations, but for Clarke they are disturbing persuasions, soothing our perception that we ultimately cannot control our own technological advances.For example, Clarke studies corporations' plans for cleaning up oil spills in Prince William Sound prior to the Exxon Valdez debacle, and he finds that the accepted strategies were not just unrealistic but completely untenable. Although different organizations were required to have a cleanup plan for huge spills in the sound, a really massive spill was unprecedented, and the accepted policy was little more than a patchwork of guesses based on (mostly unsuccessful) cleanups after smaller accidents.While we are increasingly skeptical of big organizations, we still have no choice but to depend on them for protection from large-scale disasters. We expect their specialists to tell the truth, and yet, as Clarke points out, reassuring rhetoric (under the guise of expert prediction) may have no basis in fact or truth because no such basis is attainable. In uncovering the dangers of planning when implementation is a fantasy, Clarke concludes that society would be safer, smarter, and fairer if organizations could admit their limitations."An incursion into new territory written with insight and flair, Clarke's book achieves a revolution in understanding plans as an organizational activity-how they come about, why they go awry, and the often-disastrous disconnect between plans and an organization's ability to carry them out. A book that will fascinate general readers, administrators, organization theorists, and disaster buffs, Mission Improbable stands as a valuable companion volume to Pressman and Wildavsky's Implementation."—Diane Vaughan, author of The Challenger Launch Decision

  • Majin
In this remarkable concise and readable booklet, Dr Clarke has one point which seems rather obvious in retrospect (as do many lucid observations: Organizations, when faced with controlling uncontrollable events, issue fantasy documents that solve problems that look similar to the problem at hand, but really aren't, upon closer inspection. These documents are rhetorical proclamations and serve the organization as such (staking knowledge domains, justifying expenditures, hidden agendas), communication between organizations(state, local, federal) and societal purposes (reassurance of populace). In Hungarian, this procedure is called constructing a popanz, a strawman argument. You will find no math in this book, no models, but plenty of socio-dynamic analysis. I enjoyed it very much ( except maybe for the somewhat non-standard definition of risk and uncertainty).
  • Zodama
If you are an Emergency Manager or aspiring to be one, this book should be one of the first you read and become acquainted with. I don't want to spoil anything from the contents, so I'll just say that it's well worth your time to read and allow it to help you set yourself apart.
  • Fearlesssinger
  • Andriodtargeted
as advertised
  • Cildorais
I think this book hits the nail right on the head. Dr. Clarke captures the essence of what so many fail to do and yet he does it with such insight and remarkable understanding from every conceivable angle. Highly recommended reading!